With the collapse of the previous republican regime in Afghanistan and the withdrawal of American and NATO forces from the country, their internal allies, contractors and other supporters who had stood against the Taliban, other anti-occupation groups and ordinary Afghans for nearly 20 years also fled. Initially, they tried to find a foothold within Afghanistan, but when they saw that the surroundings were empty, no one was supporting them and on the other hand, they were facing intense military pressure from the Taliban, they quickly chose the path of escape.
They fled abroad and simultaneously began extensive lobbying to find supporters and ignite the flames of war in Afghanistan. They formed various groups under different names, but instead of uniting, these groups quickly moved towards fragmentation. Although they initially tried to hide their internal conflicts and severe clashes from the media, the intensity of their disagreements was so high that it was difficult to prevent them. If we were to discuss the reasons for their fragmentation in detail, many causes would become apparent, but here we will point out a few main reasons:
First: These movements and groups were largely formed by the former warlords, the individuals of internal conflicts, the main actors of Afghanistan’s nearly 40-year tragedy, or their descendants and family members, whom all people in Afghanistan hate and despise. These individuals and families traded and negotiated with the blood, heads and bones of millions of Afghans, fanned the flames of division among tribes and brought numerous calamities upon them. Therefore, no one within Afghanistan is willing to assist them.
Second: These individuals, groups, families and circles are well-known to foreigners as well. Their donors and foreign supporters have a long history of working with them. They understand that these individuals currently have no influence in Afghanistan, are severely isolated within the country and lack the ability to stand against the current caretaker government of Afghanistan. Therefore, they are reluctant to support them and waste their money and resources.
Third: These groups, in addition to other issues, have long been addicted to financial and moral corruption, are not committed to any values, and have no organized or clear plan for themselves or the country. They want to muddy the waters in Afghanistan as always and catch their fish in it. They want their former donors to come back to the Afghan war so they can shake dollars from them as before, but this is no longer done by the United States or any other country.
Fourth: Failure in the new test; the opposition groups based abroad faced a serious test for about four years. Disappointed by their former patrons and other donors, they sought new donors. They knocked on the doors of arms manufacturers, major traffickers, kidnapping gangs, criminal networks and even notorious intelligence agencies like Mossad, urging them to support chaos and disorder in Afghanistan in exchange for securing their interests in the country. However, the new donors provided conditional and minimal support and when they saw that these groups were merely virtual, powerless and ineffective, they quickly cut off their assistance.
Fifth: Severe internal conflicts and embezzlement; the opposition groups based abroad are facing severe disagreements due to their personal interests and preferences, have significant financial disputes among themselves, have squandered a lot of money and are not ready to hold each other accountable in any way. This has made them extremely distrustful of each other, escalated their conflicts to a peak and brought them to the brink of disintegration.
These and many other reasons have caused the opposition groups of the caretaker government based abroad to be repeatedly fragmented. Every time they raise their heads, they are shattered again and become even weaker than before. They have no internal support and no external backing. They have no plan or organized strategy for Afghanistan; they only seek war and chaos, but war and chaos no longer have any market or buyers.
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